Abstract
Rev Bras Ter Intensiva. 2020;32(2):224-228
DOI 10.5935/0103-507X.20200030
To estimate the reporting rates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases for Brazil as a whole and states.
We estimated the actual number of COVID-19 cases using the reported number of deaths in Brazil and each state, and the expected case-fatality ratio from the World Health Organization. Brazil’s expected case-fatality ratio was also adjusted by the population’s age pyramid. Therefore, the notification rate can be defined as the number of confirmed cases (notified by the Ministry of Health) divided by the number of expected cases (estimated from the number of deaths).
The reporting rate for COVID-19 in Brazil was estimated at 9.2% (95%CI 8.8% - 9.5%), with all the states presenting rates below 30%. São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, the most populated states in Brazil, showed small reporting rates (8.9% and 7.2%, respectively). The highest reporting rate occurred in Roraima (31.7%) and the lowest in Paraiba (3.4%).
The results indicated that the reporting of confirmed cases in Brazil is much lower as compared to other countries we analyzed. Therefore, decision-makers, including the government, fail to know the actual dimension of the pandemic, which may interfere with the determination of control measures.
Abstract
Rev Bras Ter Intensiva. 2020;32(1):2-10
DOI 10.5935/0103-507X.20200002
Current COVID-19 epidemics was declared on December 31, 2019 at the Wuhan city seafood market, rapidly spreading throughout China, and later reaching several countries (mainly South Korea, Japan, Italy and Iran) and, since March 1, reaching Portugal. Most of the infected patients present with mild symptoms, not requiring hospitalization. Among those admitted to the hospital, 6% to 10% require admission to the intensive care unit. These recommendations are aimed to support the organization of intensive care services to respond COVID-19, providing optimized care to the patient and protection for healthcare professionals.
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